IMD says monsoon likely to be normal across country - When is it expected and other key details

FPJ Web DeskUpdated: Tuesday, June 01, 2021, 03:13 PM IST
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Photo Credit: ANI

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday said that the Southwest Monsoon is likely to be normal in north and south India, above-normal in central India and below-normal in east and northeast India.

"The southwest monsoon is likely to be normal over Northwest India and South Peninsula. Seasonal rainfall most likely to be below normal over Northeast India and above normal over Central India," the MeT department said.

The IMD further said that monsoon is expected to hit the Kerala coast on June 3. "As per the latest meteorological indications, the southwesterly winds have strengthened, resulting in likely enhancement in rainfall activity over Kerala. Hence the monsoon onset over Kerala is likely to take place around June 3," IMD tweeted.

While releasing its Second Long Range Forecast for Southwest Monsoon 2021, IMD's Director General Mrutunjay Mohapatra said that the monsoon this year is likely to be normal in the country as a whole.

"We are expecting normal rainfall for Northwest India. There is a probability of below-normal rainfall over Leh and Ladakh region and normal to slightly above normal rainfall in Jammu and Kashmir region," Mrutunjay Mohapatra was quoted as saying by news agency ANI.

According to IMD, monsoon this year is likely to be in the range of 96-104 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 101 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of plus or minus 4 per cent. The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1961-2010 is 88 cm.

Here are key updates from IMD on Monsoon 2021:

  • The Southwest monsoon - June to September - rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal. It is expected to be 96 to 104 per cent of the Long Period Average or LPA.

  • Quantitatively, June to September rainfall over the country is likely to be 101 per cent of the LPA with a model error of four per cent above or below the LPA.

  • The southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the four homogeneous rainfall is most likely to be Normal over Northwest India (92-108%) and South Peninsula (93-107%). Seasonal rainfall is most likely to be below normal over North east India (<95%) and above normal over Central India (>106%).

  • The southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the monsoon core zone, which consists of most of the rainfed agriculture regions in the country is most likely to be Above Normal (<106% of LPA).

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