Exit polls predict Grand Alliance win with slim margin, but hung assembly likely
All Exit Polls on Bihar Assembly Elections show the Mahagathbandhan under the leadership of RJD leader Tejashwvi Yadav may have an edge over the NDA, but there is likely to be a hung assembly.
Tejashwvi Yadav is the preferred chief minister of Bihar according to India Today-My Axis exit poll prediction.
Times Now C-Voter exit poll says Bihar is headed for a hung assembly, predicts 120 seats for Grand alliance and 116 for NDA. A hung assembly is predicted.
Jan Ki Baat exit poll projects RJD to be the single-largest party in Bihar, projects 91-119 seats for NDA, gives Mahagathnabdhan an edge.
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 55 ± 11 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 180 ± 11 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), and 8 ± 4 seats to other parties.
Voting concluded at 6 PM
The third and last phase of the Bihar Assembly elections 2020 concluded at 6 PM today. And, all eyes are set on 10 November when the results of the elections will be announced.
But, before the actual result, it is time for the Exit Poll projections at 6.30 pm to get a clear picture of the likely poll outcome.
Research firms and various agencies will put out their forecasts about the winners and the losers in the exit polls which are based on responses of people who have cast their votes. The exit polls will forecast seat tally and vote percentage of all the parties.
Here's what to know about the equations
A total of 243 constituencies went for polls in Bihar over three phases. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Opposition Grand Alliance (GA) were the main contestants.
NDA aliances has Janata Dal (United) - 115 seats, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) - 110 seats, Hindustani Awam Morcha-Secular (HAM-S) - 7 seats, and Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) - 11 seats.
JD(U) chief and NDA's chief ministerial candidate Nitish Kumar is fighting anti-incumbency. He is aiming to come to power for the 4th term. Giving him a tough fight is Grand Alliance's Tejashwi Yadav, chief of the RJD.
Hindustani Awam Morcha-Secular is led by Jitan Ram Manjhi, the former chief minister of the state, and the chief of Vikassheel Insaan Party is Mukesh Sahni.
The Grand Alliance comprises Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and Congress, Communist Party of India (CPI), Communist Party of India (Marxist) or CPI(M) and Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) or CPI(ML).
Times Now-CVoter Exit Polls
The Times Now-CVoter Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 116 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 120 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), 1 seat for the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), and 6 seats to other parties.
Jan Ki Baat seat share projection
The Jan Ki Baat seat share projection for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 has predicted 60-75 seats for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), 31-42 seats for the Janata Dal (United) (JD-U), 91-79 seats for the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), and 8-5 seats for the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP).
ABP-CVoter Exit Polls
The ABP-CVoter Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 104-128 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 108-131 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), 1-3 seat for the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), and 4-8 seats to other parties.
India Today-Axis My India survey shows 44% of the electorate prefer Tejashwi as CM
The India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll has projected the electoral climate favouring the many chief ministerial candidates in Bihar in the state assembly polls.
According to the survey data, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)'s Tejashwi Yadav is the leading CM candidate in Bihar, with 44% of the electorate favouring him.
Tailing him is incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar, of the Janata Dal (United) (JD-U) with 35% of the electorate in favour.
Lok Janshakti Party (LJP)'s Chirag Paswan and Rashtriya Lok Samta Party (RLSP)'s Upendra Kushwaha are behind with 7% and 4% of the electorate, respectively, favouring them.
TV9 Bharatvarsh Exit Poll
The TV9 Bharatvarsh Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 110-120 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 115-125 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), 3-5 seat for the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), and 10-15 seats to other parties.
Today's Chanakya Poll Projections
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 55 ± 11 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 180 ± 11 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), and 8 ± 4 seats to other parties.
The Vote Projection, according to the Today's Chanakya survey, is as follows:
BJP – JDU+ 34% ± 3%
RJD – Cong+ 44% ± 3%
Others 22% ± 3%
NewsX-DVResearch Exit Poll
NewsX-DVResearch Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 110-117 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 108-123 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), 4-10 seats for the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), and 8 - 23 seats to other parties.
India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll
The India Today-Axis My India Exit Polls for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2020 have predicted 69-91 seats for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), 139-161 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), 3-5 seats for the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), and 3-5 seats to other parties forming the Grand Democratic Secular Front (GDSF).
Seat share
Vote share
Survey shows youth disproportionately favour regime change
The India Today-Axis My India poll projections have thrown up some interesting projections in the age-wise vote share: the 18-35 age group, categorically the 'youth', has disproportionately favoured a change in the Chief Minister Nitish Kumar-led Janata Dal (United) (JD-U) regime, which is a part of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
