Lok Sabha Election Bihar Exit Poll Results 2024: Axis My India Shows Modi-Nitish Partnership Likely To Secure Victory, May Win 29-33 Seats

Lok Sabha Election Bihar Exit Poll Results 2024: Axis My India Shows Modi-Nitish Partnership Likely To Secure Victory, May Win 29-33 Seats

While exit poll results have been revealed, the real outcome will be known on June 4. Like previous elections, it will be intriguing to see how accurate the exit poll predictions turn out to be this time

Abhishek SinghUpdated: Saturday, June 01, 2024, 09:42 PM IST
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FPJ

The Modi-Nitish partnership under the NDA is likely to secure a victory in Bihar; however, compared to 2019, its seat share may decrease, as predicted by major exit polls on Saturday.

Here is what credible exit polls whose predictions in the past were close to the real number say about the state of Bihar: 

1) India Today's Axis My India exit poll shows that the BJP-led NDA will win  29-33 seats. INDIA alliance is expected to get 7-10 seats, while others will get 0-2 seats.

2) Republic TV's Matrize exit poll predicts that the Modi-Nitish partnership under the NDA will secure a comfortable win with 32-37 seats while the INDIA alliance will get only 2-7 and others will either fail to open their account or may win 1 seat.

3) News 24's Today's Chanakya exit poll shows that the NDA will get 36 (±4) seats while the INDIA alliance will get only 4 (±4). Others to draw either zero or one seat.

4) TIMES NOW’s CNX exit poll predicts that the NDA will get somewhere around 31 seats, while the INDIA alliance will get 8 seats. 

5) ABP’s C Voter exit poll shows an overwhelming victory for the NDA, close to where they were in 2019 with 34-38 seats. It predicts that the INDIA alliance will get somewhere from three to five seats.

Remember, while exit polls will provide a preliminary estimation, the accuracy will only be confirmed after the final results are announced on June 4. The reason behind so much hype around the exit poll is the fact that most have been proven accurate in previous elections.

Exit polls results 2019

Looking back at the exit polls from the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Bihar, they largely predicted a favourable outcome for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The exit polls suggested a strong performance by the NDA coalition in Bihar. When the final results were declared, they aligned closely with the exit poll predictions.

The actual results surpassed the exit poll predictions, with the BJP's performance even better than anticipated. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) led by Lalu Prasad Yadav failed to make significant gains in Bihar. The NDA secured victory on 39 out of 40 seats, with BJP winning 17 seats, Janata Dal (United) (JDU) 16 seats, Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) 6 seats, and Congress managing to secure just 1 seat.

2014 Lok Sabha election results

Taking a glance back at the 2014 Lok Sabha election results, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured 22 seats in Bihar. Laloo Prasad Yadav's party, the RJD, managed to secure only 4 seats. At that time, JDU had contested elections separately from NDA and won only 2 seats. Congress also won 2 seats, while BJP's ally LJP secured 6 seats.

Current scenario

In the current Lok Sabha elections 2024, BJP is contesting on 17 seats and JDU on 16 seats. Chirag Paswan's LJP (Ram Vilas) has been allotted 5 seats, Upendra Kushwaha's Rashtriya Lok Samata Party 1 seat, and Jitan Ram Manjhi's Hindustani Awam Morcha 1 seat. On the other hand, in the India alliance, RJD is contesting 23 seats, Congress on 9 seats, Left parties on 5 seats, and VIP on 3 seats.

The politics of Bihar is once again under scrutiny in the Lok Sabha elections 2024. All parties have ventured into the arena with their strategies, and it remains to be seen whom the people of Bihar choose as their representatives.

While exit poll results will soon be revealed, the real outcome will be known on June 4. Like previous elections, it will be intriguing to see how accurate the exit poll predictions turn out to be this time.

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