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Updated on: Tuesday, October 05, 2021, 08:47 PM IST

Moody's affirms rating; upgrades India's outlook to ‘stable’ from ‘negative’

The sovereign rating by Moody's stands at 'Baa3' -- which is the lowest investment grade, just a notch above junk status./ Representational image  |

The sovereign rating by Moody's stands at 'Baa3' -- which is the lowest investment grade, just a notch above junk status./ Representational image |

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Moody's on Tuesday affirmed India's sovereign rating. The ratings agency upgraded the country's outlook to 'stable' from 'negative', citing receding downside risks to the economy and financial system.

The sovereign rating by Moody's stands at 'Baa3' -- which is the lowest investment grade, just a notch above junk status.

"Moody's Investors Service has today changed the outlook on the Government of India's ratings to stable from negative and affirmed the country's foreign-currency and local-currency long-term issuer ratings and the local-currency senior unsecured rating at Baa3," it said in a statement.

The decision to change the outlook to stable reflects Moody's view that the downside risks from negative feedback between the real economy and financial system are receding.

"With higher capital cushions and greater liquidity, banks and non-bank financial institutions pose much lesser risk to the sovereign than Moody's previously anticipated.

"And while risks stemming from a high debt burden and weak debt affordability remain, Moody's expects that the economic environment will allow for a gradual reduction of the general government fiscal deficit over the next few years, preventing further deterioration of the sovereign credit profile," it added.

Moody's Investors Service had last year downgraded India's sovereign rating to 'Baa3' from 'Baa2', saying there will be challenges in implementation of policies to mitigate risks of a sustained period of low growth and deteriorating fiscal position.

The outlook on the rating was kept negative.

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Vijay Kalantri, Chairman, MVIRDC World Trade Center Mumbai

"We hope this favourable revision will bolster the confidence of foreign investors in India growth story, boost further foreign direct investment into the country, reduce government bond yields (as foreign investors purchase more of rupee denominated bonds). We want the 10-year bond yield to fall below the 6 percent mark so that interest rate in the country declines meaningfully for private sector. This may also prompt other rating agencies (S&P and Fitch) to review their India’s rating outlook."

(With inputs from PTI)

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Published on: Tuesday, October 05, 2021, 07:52 PM IST
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