India's chances of making the semi-final of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026 have taken a major dent following their embarrassing 76-run loss to South Africa on Sunday. The margin of defeat further complicates India's path into the final four and eventually their chance to defend their crown. Suryakumar Yadav & Co's best chance to make it to the semis would be to win both their games against Zimbabwe and West Indies.
India’s loss to South Africa may have dented momentum, but history suggests it could actually work in their favour. Both of India's World Cup wins under MS Dhoni - in 2007 and 2011 saw the Men in Blue recover from such adversity to clinch the title.
2007: Super 6 set back against New Zealand
In the clearest similarity, India had lost their first ever Super 8 match to New Zealand by 10 runs. Incidentally, current head coach Gautam Gambhir had played that game, top scoring for India with a half-century.
After that defeat, India clinched victories over England and South Africa. That South African side featured current India bowling coach Morne Morkel and Proteas t20 consultant Albie Morkel. India then defeated Australia in the semi-final, before clinching the title with a 5-run win over Pakistan in the final.
2011: Nagpur nightmare before glory
Another similarity can be drawn from India's 2011 World Cup campaign. The hosts then were flying high with an unbeaten campaign when they took on the Proteas. However, a batting collapse hindered their dominance and Dhoni and Co eventually succumbed to a final over defeat.
India managed to make it to the knockouts anyway, defeating Australia, Pakistan and Sri Lanka on the way to their title.
