Third COVID-19 wave to hit India by October but will be controlled outbreak: Experts

Third COVID-19 wave to hit India by October but will be controlled outbreak: Experts

FPJ BureauUpdated: Friday, June 18, 2021, 11:19 PM IST
article-image
Third COVID-19 wave to hit India by October but will be controlled outbreak: Experts | unsplash

Bengaluru : A third wave of coronavirus infections is likely to hit India by October, and although it will be better controlled than the latest outbreak, the pandemic will remain a public health threat for at least another year, according to a Reuters poll of medical experts.
The June 3-17 snap survey of 40 healthcare specialists, doctors, scientists, virologists, epidemiologists and professors from around the world showed a significant pickup in vaccinations will likely provide some cover to a fresh outbreak.
Of those who ventured a prediction, over 85% of respondents, or 21 of 24, said the next wave will hit by October, including three who forecast it as early as August and 12 in September. The remaining three said between November and February.


But over 70% of experts, or 24 of 34, said any new outbreak would be better controlled compared with the current one, which has been far more devastating - with shortage of vaccines, medicines, oxygen and hospital beds - than the smaller first surge in infections last year.
"It will be more controlled, as cases will be much less because more vaccinations would have been rolled out and there would be some degree of natural immunity from the second-wave," said Dr Randeep Guleria, director at All India Institute Of Medical Sciences (AIIMS).
So far, India has only fully vaccinated about 5% of its estimated 95 crore eligible population, leaving many millions vulnerable to infections and deaths.
While a majority of healthcare experts predicted the vaccination drive would pick up significantly this year, they cautioned against an early removal of restrictions, as some states have done.

RECENT STORIES

'EC Is Brazenly Letting Modi Violate Rules', TMC MP Saket Gokhale Blasts Poll Body

'EC Is Brazenly Letting Modi Violate Rules', TMC MP Saket Gokhale Blasts Poll Body

Gujarat: Political Upset In Vadodara as BJP MLA Ketan Inamdar Sends Resignation Amid Factionalism

Gujarat: Political Upset In Vadodara as BJP MLA Ketan Inamdar Sends Resignation Amid Factionalism

Bengaluru Police Seize Explosives Near School Days After Rameshwaram Cafe Blast

Bengaluru Police Seize Explosives Near School Days After Rameshwaram Cafe Blast

BRS Leader K Kavitha Withdraws SC Plea Against ED Summons Amid Arrest In Delhi Excise Irregularities...

BRS Leader K Kavitha Withdraws SC Plea Against ED Summons Amid Arrest In Delhi Excise Irregularities...

Bihar: Pashupati Paras Resigns From Modi Cabinet After His RLJP Denied Seats By NDA

Bihar: Pashupati Paras Resigns From Modi Cabinet After His RLJP Denied Seats By NDA