India Meteorological Department had predicted drought-like conditions before the onset of monsoons. The prediction appeared to be correct till the middle of July. Large parts of the country were deficient in rains at that time. However, the monsoons have revived and as of now the situation is normal. However, this is deceptive though technically correct. Many parts of the country continue to suffer even though rain is normal on the average. Orissa has undertaken an urgent programme to install 13,000 borewells to help farmers tide over the deficient rainfall. Prices of onions in Maharashtra have jumped lately because crops are under stress. The Reserve Bank of India has directed the banks to increase their direct lending to the farmers. These contrary indicators mean that the variability of the monsoons has increased even though average may be normal. It is like one child in the family being sick while the other winning a medal in a sports event at school. The average performance of the children would be “normal” but this would hardly be satisfactory.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has warned of such increasing variability much earlier. It has forecast that weather will become more extreme in the coming years. There will be sharp bursts of heavy rainfall followed by long periods of no rain. Shrinking glaciers will reduce the water we receive from the Himalayan rivers during the summers. The groundwater levels will decline. Slow rainfall that continues over many days gives time to the water to percolate into the groundwater aquifers. A sharp burst of rain does not provide time for the water to percolate. Thus groundwater levels will decline. The problem will be compounded by the farmers relying even more on bore wells during long periods of no rain. These problems will only become worse according to the predictions made by IPCC.
The solution is to provide subsidies for undertaking groundwater recharge. Nearly 300 villagers in Kadavanchi near Jalna in Maharashtra have captured rain water and have been able to undertake profitable agriculture even in drought periods. One farmer spent 5.5 lakh rupees for making the storage structure but made a profit of 30 lakh rupees by cultivating grapes while fields in the surrounding villages were parched. Farmers in Bagalkot District of Karnataka have levelled their fields and made bunds around them so that the rain water does not escape and instead seeps into the soil. They harvest good crops without fail even though surrounding areas are blank. The Model Bill does not provide powers to the Farmers’ Committee to provide incentives or to compulsorily require farmers to establish water harvesting structures such as these.
We have to redesign the economic policy. Presently we are providing subsidies for extraction of groundwater. Many states provide cheap or free electricity to the farmers. This encourages them to extract more groundwater. Need is to provide subsidies on recharge structures. Let us say, a farmer is today getting a subsidy of Rs 5000 through cheap electricity. The same money should be given to him for making a water storage tank, check dams and bunds on his fields. Simultaneously, the price of his produce should be raised so that the farmer can pay the real cost of electricity without starving to death. Here problem is the urban middle class that wants cheap food grains. It is necessary that the government takes the middle class into confidence and raises the price of food products such that the farmer can pay the true cost of electricity. Providing subsidy for water harvesting structures along with charging true cost of electricity from the farmers will ensure that more water is recharged into the aquifers and less is extracted. This will enable us to extract some groundwater even during drought years and thus produce food.
There is need to change another policy. Government engineers are more interested in building large storage dams like Bhakra and implementing large engineering schemes like those of interlinking the rivers. It is true that storage dams have helped irrigate large tracts of land and established our food security. But the usefulness of these structures will recede with global warming. Dams will store only if rivers bring water. Very frequently these dams cannot be filled to their full capacity because of less rain in their catchments. This problem will become more pronounced with increased variability of rainfall, as predicted by IPCC. There may not be any water to transfer from one river basin to another through the river interlinking scheme. Moreover, huge water loss occurs through evaporation from these reservoirs. It is better, therefore, to store rainwater in underground aquifers where evaporation does not take place.
The Central Ground Water Board has made a plan to increase groundwater recharge. However, the plan is limited to holding and recharging local rainfall. Rain that falls in a village will be captured and stored in the aquifers of the village. But there is no plan to recharge groundwater aquifers using river flows. Our rivers bring large amounts of water during the monsoons. This water can also be used to recharge the aquifers. There exists such a traditional water harvesting system in the pynes of Gaya. Canals are made that take water from the flooded rivers and bring it into the village ponds. Another canal takes flood water from one pond to another pond lying farther away. The canals are blocked once the floods recede thus trapping the river flow in the ponds. Groundwater is recharged from these ponds. Such innovative systems need to be implemented across the country.
The Government has established a National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture (NMSA). This mission seeks to face drought through improved seeds, pest management, nutrient management, credit support, development of markets, and dissemination of information. All these measures do not face the fundamental problem of water availability. Water use efficiency, farm practices and crop diversification are also covered in the NMSA. These steps are welcome and will help. But still there is no strategy of how we will increase the availability of water in the face of global warming.
The water crisis will aggravate along with global warming. The need is to dismantle all subsidies on water extraction and instead replacing them with subsidies on water recharging; empower the Local Committees under the Groundwater Management Acts to prohibit the cultivation of selected water-guzzling crops and develop a method of recharging groundwater by using river runoff as done in pynes of Gaya.
Author was formerly Professor of Economics at IIM Bengaluru
