FPJ-Ed: Third wave will end in April, says IITK Professor

According to Manindra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur, third wave of the pandemic will end by April. The scientist, however, warned that rallies during elections can prove to be a super spreader for Corona infection, as it is not easy to follow the Covid guidelines in such gatherings.

Prof Agarwal said that as a large number of people reach the election rallies without following the guidelines, the risk of infection increases to a great extent.

In such a situation, there is a need to be careful. If there are rallies, the transition can pick up ahead of time. According to Prof Agarwal, who bases his predictions of the epidemic based on his mathematical model, the third wave will come in India in January and in March, 1.8 lakh cases can come daily.

"It will be a matter of relief that only 1 in 10 will need a hospital. Two lakh beds will be needed in the middle of March," he said.

He further said that 80 percent of the population in Africa and India is below 45 years of age. Natural immunity is up to 80 percent in both countries. In both countries, the delta variant has been due to mutants. Like South Africa, India, too, is less likely to have a major impact, he claimed

Published on: Monday, January 03, 2022, 04:38 PM IST