Weekly Market Review & Top Stocks In Focus For The Week Ended 18th Jul’25

Just to put things on outlook, we need to understand that on a short term basis the market is lacking any positive triggers as most of the positive triggers like cooling inflation, rate cut, stable macro indicators, improving monsoon outlook and rural demand recovery, are known and these triggers we believe are priced in on a short term basis.

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Weekly Market Review & Top Stocks In Focus For The Week Ended 18th Jul’25
Motilal Oswal Team Updated: Saturday, July 19, 2025, 09:18 AM IST
Weekly Market Review & Top Stocks In Focus For The Week Ended 18th Jul’25

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Dalal Street fell for the third straight week as the Nifty and the Sensex were down 1% each though midcaps outperformed the blue chips. On the sectoral front, Financials, IT Services stocks declined the most. 

Markets continue to remain in that 300-350 points range with 25000 acting as support on downside and 25300 as upside resistance. However this 25000 level was breached on Friday as some of the heavyweight stocks on the indices were down post results and that weighed it down. Markets do witness good buying interest but it is important to note that we have been in a range since quite a long time now and it seems patience is the key amid lack of triggers and direction. Looking at the way midcaps have behaved it seems they are starting to perform after 5 weeks of sideways move and Q1 earnings will set the tone going ahead.

Just to put things on outlook, we need to understand that on a short term basis the market is lacking any positive triggers as most of the positive triggers like cooling inflation, rate cut, stable macro indicators, improving monsoon outlook and rural demand recovery are known and these triggers we believe are priced in on a short term basis. 

Coming to valuations, it’s neither cheap nor expensive either for mid & small caps as well as large caps and therefore we are not expecting any runaway rally or major upmove but yes as mentioned at the start the stock specific and sector rotation continues to happen.

At the same time, we have to remember that the global cues will keep our markets under radar whether it’s around trade tariffs, crude, geo-political tensions or foreign institution flows. So it’s going to be a range bound market but the positive thing over here is the buying on dips strategy continues as macro internals are much more stable.

If we gauge the market mood index it is now into the Fear territory and technically the Nifty RSI is near 40, we have seen Nifty bouncing from 50-EMA  and daily super trends. Over the weekend we have major results coming in from the Nifty 50 pack and at the same time the FIIs are 80% short on index futures, and we believe any surprise will have a good rally from here. Let’s see how it plays out and with this let’s begin our weekly market review. 

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How Did the Markets Fare Last Week?

On a weekly basis ended on Friday, the Indian benchmark indices ended in red. Sensex and Nifty were down close to 1% each while Midcaps outperformed and were up 1% during the week.

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What Might Keep the Markets Busy Into the Next Week?

Investors will be busy monitoring the earnings and management commentary on outlook as a whole lot of India Inc. will be coming out with their Q1FY26 numbers. Furthermore, any discussion / progress on India-US trade negotiations and President Trump’s tariffs implementation on countries and its impact will be monitored very closely.

Coming to data points, on the domestic front we have the HSBC Composite/Manufacturing/Services PMI as well as Foreign Exchange Reserves while globally we have Michigan Consumer Expectation Index, Existing Home Sales data, S&P Global Manufacturing/Services PMI and Initial Jobless Claims etc. All of these will keep markets busy. 

Crude and FII Flows

Brent Crude Oil Prices remained steady at $68.79/bbl supported by stronger-than-expected economic data from the world’s top oil consumers and signs of easing trade tensions. On the other hand, FIIs turned Net Sellers for the week.

Sector in Focus

Pharma, Realty & PSU Banks remained in focus during the week.

Stocks That Remained in Focus During The Week

Wipro:

Emami:

JSW Energy:

CEAT:

NTPC:

GMR Airports:

Thirumalai Chemicals:

HDB Financial Services:

Tata Consultancy Services:

Dixon Technologies:

Closing Thoughts

There Are Years Where Nothing Happens & Then There Are Days Where Years Happen!

Published on: Saturday, July 19, 2025, 09:18 AM IST

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