Ujjain: Speculations are rife that the BJP may have to suffer some ‘ unexpected’ blows in the Assembly elections. The fate of 59 candidates, who had contested from seven constituencies of the district, has been sealed in the electronic voting machines ( EVMs) and all the candidates are waiting for the people’s verdict to be announced on December 8 with fingers crossed.
The high voter turnout ( percentage) has compelled prominent political leaders to rethink on the electioneering during the past 10 days as the involvement of electorates was comparatively low. Even, the star campaigners could not draw expected crowd during the election meetings. The restrictions imposed by the Election Commission of India had also suppressed the election cacophony, this time.
On the contrary, low voter turnout in the urban areas has also alerted the strategists of the political parties and candidates as they are now busy in reading out the message hidden between the lines.
After voting ended at 5 pm on Monday, the main election contenders started micro analysis of the poll percentage of every polling booth. On one side, the BJP leaders appeared satisfied with the poll percentage claiming that it was in their favour, but some of them also expressed disappointments on low turnout in areas inhabited by the educated, middle class and government servants. On the other hand, Congress leaders were seen cheerful on the high polling percentage on Muslim and SC- dominated polling booths. They counted low voter turnout in the educated, middle class and government servants’ areas as a mark of anti- BJP sentiments.
Amidst these calculations, the speculations on Tuesday were that the BJP may have to suffer jolts as the anti- incumbency factor would play a major role against its candidates. Everybody was keen to know the outcome of Ujjain North constituency, where the state minister Paras Jain was testing his luck for the sixth time as polling was held not as per his expectations.
Similar was the condition of Ujjain South constituency, where BJP’s Mohan adav reportedly failed to mobilise winnable voters in his favour.At Mahidpur constituency, Congress rebel Dinesh Jain Boss’ position was seemed to be strong against his BJP candidate.Picture of Barnagar was reported to be uncertain as the election witnessed triangular contest. No definite picture could be emerged from Nagda- Khachrod constituency as well.
From Ghattiya, position of sitting Congress MLA Ramlal Malviya was reported to be strong while in Tarana constituency, neck- to- neck fight was reported between the BJP and Congress candidates.Presently BJP have its MLAs on four constituencies viz Ujjain North, Ujjain South, Barnagar and Tarana whereas the Congress has its MLAs on rest of the three constituencies viz Ghattiya, Mahidpur and Nagda- Khachrod.
MAJOR FACTORS TO DECIDE THE POLL OUTCOME
- Image and behaviour of the candidate
- Destiny of the candidate
- Polling percentage in favour
- Role of saboteurs
- Caste and religious equations
- Effect of star campaigners
- Contemporary issues