Mumbai : The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday forecast normal to excess rainfall in Maharashtra in the next two months.
The normal probability of monsoon over India from June to September was calculated by IMD. The forecast is called the Long Period Average (LPA) for the country as a whole which is calculated after conducting the geological study of the four months of monsoon season. The country received 89 cm of rainfall from 1951 to 2000.
According to IMD, it predicted 104% to 110 % LPA for India this year, which is above normal. It has also predicted 113% LPA for Central India this year, which is excessive.
On Friday, areas of Konkan, Goa and Mumbai received 2009.1mm of rainfall, whereas on normal days it received only 1739mm amount of rainfall. This shows 16% increase in rainfall which is more than normal.
Ajay Kumar, Director of IMD said, “Central Maharashtra received 406.1mm of rainfall on Friday, whereas on normal days it received 372.0 mm amount of rainfall. This shows 9% increase in rainfall which is more than normal.”
Also, Marathwada received 403.2mm of rainfall, whereas on normal days it received 314.5 mm amount of rainfall. This shows 28% increase in rainfall which is excess. Whereas, area of Vidarbha received 38% increase in rainfall on Friday which is excess. It recorded 633.4mm of rainfall, whereas it received only 458.6mm of rainfall on normal days.
“On Friday, Marathwada and Vidarbha received excess rainfall. We expect a similar pattern of rainfall in the month of August and September,” added Kumar.
IMD on Friday also stated that, an upper air cyclonic circulation lies over East Rajasthan and adjoining North-West Madhya Pradesh between 3.1km to 3.6km above main sea level. Similarly, there is an upper air cyclonic circulation over South Gujarat and neighbouring area between 4.5km to 5.8km above main sea level.
Under the influence of these systems, IMD has predicted widespread rainfall in Konkan, Goa and Mumbai in the next five days. Similarly, a low pressure system has caused in North-West Bay of Bengal which would result in increased rainfall in Central Maharashtra and Marathwada.