Mumbai: It’s now official. The Inter-Ministerial Central Team (IMCT) has projected that there will be 75,000 COVID-19 positive cases in Mumbai by end of May 2020, of which 12,000 positive symptomatic cases and 63,000 positive asymptomatic cases projected by extrapolating current trends.
BMC, in its internal presentation on April 24, which is in FPJ’s possession, has, however, said that it has launched the implementation of COVID-19 response strategy whereby all symptomatic patients will be sent to the dedicated COVID-19 hospitals and all asymptomatic patients to be housed in special facilities. There are 5589 COVID-19 cases and 219 deaths so far in Mumbai.
For symptomatic patients, BMC has already putin place 5,000 beds across major hospitals and capacity is being augmented at JJ, GTand Seven Hills hospitals. About 250 ICU beds re already available.
As far as facilities for asymptomatic patients are concerned, there are 25,000- plus isolation beds at hotels, lodges and marriage halls and sports complexes, 350- plus municipal schools being prepared to create additional capacity of 35,000 beds and stand by jumbo facilities like marriage halls and gymkhanas with 20,000 beds. Daily average tests done increased by 11X from 300 tests per day in March to 2,200 in April. Public lab capacity has been enhanced by 4X.
Nine plus empanelled private labs helpingconduct3,000plustests per day. Nearly 55,000 tests to dateand4,270 tests per million. BMC using a three-pronged surveillance strategy comprising the surveillance through fever clinics, through X-rays and surveillance the elderly having other diseases, 75%of COCID-19 deaths were patients over 50-years-old.
Further, the doubling rate of 3.5 days has been stretched to 7.3 days. This will be further extended to 10 days in next 1.5 week through strong containment measures. BMC made its presentation after its series of meeting with the IMCT and video conference with Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray.
Further, BMC’s presentation comes a week after a section of press quoting the ICMT had projected Coronavirus cases in the city to reach 42,604 by April 30th and 6.5 lakh by mid-May. Incidentally, BMC’s April 24th presentation does not make any projection on CVIVID-19 deaths by May