Hong Kong: India's non-bank financial companies (NBFCs) will look increasingly to off-shore financing in 2020 as local funding conditions are likely to remain under pressure, according to Fitch Ratings.
"However, we expect offshore access to be confined to larger entities with stronger credit fundamentals. India's weaker macroeconomic backdrop is likely to add to the existing funding, growth and asset-quality strains weighing on the NBFC industry as a whole, underpinning our negative outlook for 2020." Fitch said the offshore route will allow better-placed NBFCs to further diversify funding sources after fairly volatile domestic liquidity conditions over the past year, enabling them to capture relative funding-cost benefits and exploit growth opportunities.
"We believe that funding conditions within the domestic market will remain relatively tight for NBFCs overall, notwithstanding some improvement since the failure of Infrastructure Leasing and Financial Services (IL&FS) in late 2018. Adding to the liquidity challenges, some NBFCs have a greater sensitivity to higher-risk sectors that will be affected by the slowing economy.
Fitch views wholesale lenders in particular as more at risk of asset impairments, especially those exposed to property-developer financing and large-ticket loans secured against property. Growth for such companies is likely to be constrained as funding providers continue to pull back from these segments.
Pressure for consolidation is highly likely against this background. Coupled with tighter industry regulation, this should be positive for market stability in the longer run, and is likely to benefit companies with more resilient fundamentals or those with strong strategic linkages with financially sound corporates.
