New Delhi : The Indian economy is entering a “productive growth phase” and real GDP growth is likely to rise to 7.9 per cent by December driven by favourable external demand, improving corporate balance sheets and private capex recovery, says a report.
Productive growth phase is characterised as a period of improving growth while macro stability remains in check and typically sets the stage for a sustained growth cycle. According to the research note by Morgan Stanley, growth is likely to inflect higher, accelerating by almost 1 per cent point over the next three quarters.
Morgan Stanley expects growth to pick up from the second quarter of this year onwards and accelerate by almost a full percentage point to 7.9 per cent by December 2017 from the current run rate of 7 per cent, reports PTI.
“We think that the growth cycle will inflect higher, starting from second quarter of 2017, supported by three factors — external demand environment will be favourable for growth; corporate balance sheet repair is already underway and private capex recovery will be underway by 2018,” Morgan Stanley said in a research note.
The report further said implementation of GST is unlikely to create a meaningful roadblock in the growth trajectory.
