New Delhi: The government said India's near-term macroeconomic outlook is vulnerable to disruption of trade with China due to the coronavirus outbreak but the latest data do not suggest any adverse impact on the economy, and sliding crude oil prices may be a silver lining.
The coronavirus outbreak, first in China and now having being confirmed in more than 100 countries, has emerged as a key risk to human health as well as global growth outlook through numerous channels like trade, production and supply chain disruptions as well as decline in demand.
This was stated by Minister of State for Finance Anurag Thakur in a written reply to a question in the Lok Sabha. "As is true for the world at large, India's near-term macroeconomic outlook is also vulnerable to disruption of trade with China and second-round effects arising from expected slowdown in global growth," he said.
However, the latest available data on trade and domestic output indicators do not suggest any adverse impact on the economy, the minister said.
"Additionally, a positive impact on India's economy may arise from decline in global oil prices triggered by the outbreak of COVID-19," he said.