Mumbai : Bankers said there is little chance of a rate cut in remainder part of the current fiscal as the Reserve Bank kept key policy rates unchanged except cut in SLR in its bi-monthly monetary policy review.
Terming the RBI’s stance as marginally hawkish, SBI chairperson Arundhati Bhattacharya said that the 6 per cent inflation target is challenging and RBI is unlikely to cut rates this fiscal.
“The RBI policy statement today strikes a marginal hawkish tone with a firm eye on 6 per cent inflation target by January 2016. The 6 per cent retail inflation target looks challenging and to that extent, the RBI will hold rates at least till that time it is not breached,” she said. “Banks will thus need to factor possibly a prolonged policy pause in their decision-making,” she added. Rajan today held the key rates unchanged as expected but commentary over achieving the 6 per cent CPI number on by January 2016, with an admission of it being an uphill task, seems to have frayed the bankers’ sentiment. Private sector lender Yes Bank chief economist Shubhada Rao said the “dovish” stance of the last policy statement has been dropped and added that she does not expect any change to the repo rate, which stands at 8 per cent.
“Interest rates are unlikely to come down in the near future. The status quo would continue for some time,” Oriental Bank of Commerce CMD S L Bansal said. Bhattacharya said the move to lower the held to maturity (HTM) ceiling by 0.50 per cent to 24 per cent of NDTL will also have little impact as most of the banks are holding less than 24 per cent in HTM.