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RBI likely to cut rate on falling inflation: Moody’s

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New Delhi : The Reserve Bank is likely to cut interest rate as the wholesale price-based inflation is expected to decline further to 4.3 % in August, Moody’s Analytics said. “India’s wholesale prices likely fell 4.3 % on year-on-year in August, a further decrease from last month’s surprise 4.1 % decline. Energy and manufactured-good costs are expected to continue their decline, while food prices will likely fall steeply as a result of base effects,” it said. At the same time, retail inflation also slipped to a record low of 3.78 % in July.

It further said “the Reserve Bank of India paused its monetary easing cycle, but we expect there will be further cuts in 2015 as inflation continues to fall.”

RBI mostly tracks the consumer price inflation for its policy decisions and its bi-monthly monetary policy review is due on September 29. In a recent meeting with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India Inc made a pitch for cut in interest rate by RBI citing record low inflation.